Botafogo PB vs Serrano PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 3
BOT
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
ASA
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 2
CON
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
REM
2 - 1
BOT
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 2
MOT
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Serrano PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SPB
1 - 4
ATL
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 2
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
SPB
0 - 0
TRE
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
SPB
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 2
SPB
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |