Botafogo PB vs Serrano PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
ARN
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AUT
0 - 3
BOT
24%
26%
51%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
CSP
1 - 0
BOT
15%
24%
61%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
82%
12%
5%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
4 - 1
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Serrano PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 2
SPB
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 2
IPB
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
CSP
0 - 1
SPB
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AUT
1 - 0
SPB
55%
22%
22%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SPB
1 - 2
CAM
24%
24%
51%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |