Botafogo PB vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
SPO
7 - 2
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 1
SPO
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
SAO
10 - 0
BOT
79%
13%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAO
23%
23%
55%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2000 |
BOT
0 - 0
CRZ
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 1
CAB
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
VOL
0 - 2
FLA
11%
19%
70%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
AME
1 - 4
FLA
25%
26%
50%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 1
FRI
86%
10%
4%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
FLA
2 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |