Botafogo PB vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
BOT
2 - 0
PAY
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
BOT
1 - 0
GOI
26%
30%
44%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
FLA
2 - 0
BOT
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
BOT
0 - 1
COR
28%
30%
42%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1986 |
SER
1 - 0
BOT
44%
29%
28%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
BAH
0 - 0
JUV
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
VAS
3 - 1
BAH
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1997 |
SAN
3 - 1
BAH
73%
17%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1997 |
BAH
1 - 4
SCI
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
CRI
2 - 0
BAH
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |