Botafogo PB vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
TRE
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
47%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOT
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
AUT
73%
16%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 1
CSP
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TRE
0 - 2
CSP
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
CSP
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
CSP
2 - 1
NAC
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 2
CSP
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |