Botafogo PB vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
BOT
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 3
CAM
46%
24%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 3
BOT
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 13 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
ECP
1 - 2
BOT
28%
25%
48%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
TRE
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
CSP
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
CSP
1 - 1
CAM
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ECP
1 - 4
CSP
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CSP
1 - 0
AUT
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
CSP
1 - 0
PAR
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |