Botafogo PB vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
CRB
0 - 2
BOT
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
16%
20%
64%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 3
BOT
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
4 - 0
SER
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CSA
1 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
CSA
3 - 1
TRE
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
CSA
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CSA
2 - 0
POT
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 3
CSA
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +2 |