Botafogo PB vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
TRE
1 - 2
BOT
19%
27%
54%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
POR
1 - 1
BOT
28%
28%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SOU
1 - 2
BOT
21%
27%
52%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BOT
3 - 0
ADP
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
BOT
4 - 1
CAM
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
CAC
2 - 1
PPE
12%
22%
66%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SCA
3 - 0
CAC
22%
22%
56%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CAC
1 - 4
BRU
18%
26%
57%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
AVA
3 - 1
CAC
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAC
1 - 0
HER
34%
29%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |