Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 4-4
Botafogo PB vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
BOT
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 2
SDJ
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SER
2 - 3
BOT
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSA
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
BOT
31%
28%
41%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 0
TIR
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
POT
0 - 0
CEN
35%
27%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
GUA
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
YPI
2 - 1
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |