Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 4-6
Botafogo PB vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 3
BOT
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 13 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
CSP
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 0
BOT
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
BOT
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
BOT
23%
28%
50%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOT
9%
20%
71%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 1
BOT
12%
21%
67%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 0
RES
78%
17%
6%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 0
TIG
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |