Botafogo PB vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
NAU
3 - 1
BOT
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
ARN
2 - 0
BOT
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAU
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
CRB
3 - 0
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TRE
3 - 2
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAN
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1977 |
FLA
1 - 0
ABC
82%
11%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
MAR
3 - 0
ABC
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
ABC
2 - 2
CRZ
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1977 |
ABC
1 - 0
XVD
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |