Botafogo DF vs Luziânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 0
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
BDF
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
GAM
2 - 2
BDF
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
BDF
0 - 2
DOM
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
GAM
2 - 0
LUZ
75%
17%
9%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 1
CEI
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
LUZ
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 2
DOM
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GAM
0 - 1
LUZ
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |