Botafogo DF vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 3
BDF
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BDF
3 - 1
CFZ
64%
20%
15%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BDF
2 - 1
CEI
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
3 - 2
BDF
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GAM
0 - 0
BDF
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 2
SOB
28%
24%
49%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GAM
0 - 1
ANA
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 0
GAM
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
ITU
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 3
GAM
14%
21%
64%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | +1 |