Botafogo DF vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
BDF
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
BDF
2 - 2
FOR
36%
25%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
BDF
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
BDF
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GAM
4 - 0
CFZ
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
GAM
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
CEI
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 1
GAM
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
GAM
0 - 0
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |