Botafogo DF vs Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
BDF
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
BDF
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
30%
27%
43%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 2
BDF
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEI
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |