Botafogo DF vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 4
BDF
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
2 - 2
LUZ
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 0
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
BDF
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
GAM
2 - 2
BDF
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
DOM
3 - 3
GAM
26%
23%
52%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
DOM
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
DOM
2 - 2
CEI
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
DOM
0 - 2
CEI
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |