Botafogo DF vs CFZ Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BDF
2 - 1
CEI
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
3 - 2
BDF
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GAM
0 - 0
BDF
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BDF
1 - 1
BRA
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
BDF
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CFZ Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CFZ
1 - 1
CER
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 2
CFZ
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
5 - 2
CFZ
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CFZ
2 - 5
BRA
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
RBC
2 - 2
CFZ
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |