Botafogo DF vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
GAM
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
4 - 2
BDF
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
DOM
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 4
BDF
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
2 - 2
LUZ
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 3
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GAM
1 - 2
CEI
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 1
BRA
33%
24%
42%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 2
CEI
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
3 - 1
CEI
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |