Botafogo DF vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BDF
0 - 0
GAM
26%
24%
51%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 3
BDF
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
BDF
1 - 1
BSE
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
LEG
2 - 0
BDF
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CEI
1 - 0
LEG
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 1
CEI
82%
13%
6%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
GAM
2 - 2
CEI
77%
15%
9%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CEI
1 - 1
DOM
51%
23%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 0
CEI
72%
19%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |