Bot A vs Xerta A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bot A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
OME
7 - 0
BOT
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
EES
34%
23%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 3
BEN
42%
23%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 2
BOT
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ASC
5 - 2
BOT
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Xerta A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CAM
7 - 2
XER
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
XER
3 - 3
ALD
50%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
TIV
4 - 2
XER
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
XER
2 - 4
RBI
43%
23%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
XER
0 - 3
JYM
30%
23%
47%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |