Boston River vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
CER
0 - 0
BOS
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 0
JUN
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 0
BOS
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BOS
3 - 0
CEL
56%
24%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 2
BOS
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
DEF
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
DEF
3 - 0
PRO
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 0
FEN
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
MWA
1 - 1
DEF
44%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
DEF
6 - 0
FCR
93%
6%
1%
|
83 | 13 | 70 | 0 |