Boston River vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
CER
2 - 1
BOS
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 0
FEN
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
BOS
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 0
PLA
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 0
BOS
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
DAN
0 - 0
DEF
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
LFC
1 - 2
DEF
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 1
CER
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
FEN
5 - 0
DEF
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |