Boston River vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 0
BOS
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BOS
0 - 0
FEN
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
5 - 0
BOS
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 1
MWA
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 0
CER
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 2
LFC
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ETS
0 - 2
DEF
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
4 - 2
RAC
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
DEF
53%
23%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 1
RIV
54%
24%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |