Bosco Arévalo vs Velilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosco Arévalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BEC
2 - 0
BOS
64%
21%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 2
SAJ
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UXA
2 - 1
BOS
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 3
BOS
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOS
2 - 2
CUE
16%
20%
63%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Velilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 2
CEB
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UNA
2 - 1
VEL
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
SEG
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
4 - 1
MIR
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ANT
1 - 1
VEL
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |