Bosco de Arévalo vs A. Candeleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosco de Arévalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RAM
3 - 1
BOS
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BOS
4 - 0
SPO
40%
22%
39%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 4
BOS
30%
21%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BOS
6 - 0
MIJ
62%
18%
20%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BOS
1 - 1
HOY
16%
17%
67%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
HOY
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ADR
1 - 2
ATL
21%
19%
59%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 4
PRA
29%
21%
51%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
ATL
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 5
ARE
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |