Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 10-2
B. Mönchengladbach vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
STU
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 3
MON
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
HOM
1 - 3
MON
9%
19%
73%
|
87 | 42 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 3
ATH
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
HSV
3 - 1
MON
27%
26%
47%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MLA
1 - 1
SAR
26%
29%
46%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 3
MON
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 1
VEL
56%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
BBL
1 - 3
SAR
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
ATR
1 - 3
SAR
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |