B. Mönchengladbach vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
M05
1 - 0
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MON
4 - 3
BRE
15%
21%
64%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
HER
0 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
BOC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
LEV
3 - 2
MON
68%
19%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 2
STU
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
HAN
1 - 3
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 1
EIN
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
S04
1 - 0
FCN
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
KOL
3 - 0
FCN
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |