Borussia Freialdenhoven vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
8º
15º
10º
39
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borussia Freialdenhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VFL
2 - 2
BFR
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BFR
0 - 0
SCF
25%
21%
54%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 2
BFR
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BFR
2 - 2
HUR
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DUR
3 - 0
BFR
81%
12%
6%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SIE
4 - 1
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 0
SPF
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BER
3 - 1
SIE
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
FVE
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SIE
3 - 2
ENG
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |