Borussia Freialdenhoven vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
53.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
8º
15º
10º
36
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borussia Freialdenhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 2
BFR
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BFR
2 - 2
HUR
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DUR
3 - 0
BFR
81%
12%
6%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 2
KON
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SVE
2 - 2
BFR
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
USC
2 - 0
SCF
20%
19%
61%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 0
SPF
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 3
SCF
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BER
0 - 3
SCF
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 0
SIE
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |