Champions League . Semi-finals
Global 2-0
B. Dortmund vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RBL
4 - 1
BVB
41%
24%
35%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BVB
1 - 1
LEV
43%
24%
33%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BVB
4 - 2
ATM
48%
24%
28%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
BVB
17%
20%
62%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
BVB
39%
24%
38%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PSG
3 - 3
LHA
82%
13%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 4
PSG
11%
16%
73%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PSG
4 - 1
LYO
64%
20%
17%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 4
PSG
68%
18%
14%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
PSG
2 - 3
FCB
22%
22%
57%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |