B. Dortmund vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BYM
5 - 0
BVB
65%
19%
16%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BVB
2 - 0
WOL
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 3
BVB
21%
23%
56%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BVB
3 - 1
STU
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
BVB
0 - 1
TOT
48%
23%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
M05
5 - 0
SCF
29%
24%
46%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 1
M05
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BYM
6 - 0
M05
86%
11%
4%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
M05
0 - 1
MON
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
M05
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |