B. Dortmund vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
68.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BVB
5 - 2
EIN
57%
21%
22%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
WEH
0 - 3
BVB
2%
9%
89%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 0
BOL
82%
13%
6%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BVB
0 - 2
ATH
64%
20%
16%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BVB
1 - 3
BOC
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
BYM
6%
12%
82%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BYM
0 - 3
NAP
78%
14%
8%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
BYM
0 - 2
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 2
AJA
78%
13%
8%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
KOL
3 - 2
BYM
1%
6%
93%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |