B. Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
2º
1º
32
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 16 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 14 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 12 |
6º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
73.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
4 - 0
CEL
62%
18%
20%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ESS
0 - 1
BOR
6%
12%
82%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 6
BOR
10%
15%
75%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 1
BOR
30%
20%
50%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
4 - 1
PRE
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
6 - 2
MER
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
SCH
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DUI
0 - 4
SCH
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ESS
1 - 4
SCH
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |