B. Dortmund U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.8%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
2.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
4º
1º
28
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 2
BOR
23%
21%
56%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 4
BOR
9%
14%
77%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BOR
7 - 1
WUP
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
ZIL
2 - 1
BOR
63%
18%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
BOR
9%
13%
78%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BOC
2 - 0
ARM
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 2
VIK
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
ARM
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 0
SCH
11%
18%
72%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
ARM
52%
20%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |