B. Dortmund II vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
WEG
1 - 3
BOR
16%
21%
63%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 1
RWA
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 0
WAT
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ERN
0 - 0
BOR
18%
25%
57%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 2
BOR
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 0
KRA
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 0
ROD
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
ROT
3 - 2
VEL
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ROT
3 - 0
VEL
66%
19%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 0
S04
27%
25%
47%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |