B. Dortmund II vs Schermbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FBI
1 - 3
BOR
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
BOR
4 - 1
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
GUT
1 - 2
BOR
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ERK
1 - 1
BOR
13%
21%
66%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SPS
0 - 1
BOR
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 1
ERK
65%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 2
LIP
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
WHE
2 - 3
SCH
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SVE
2 - 0
SCH
35%
25%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
DSC
1 - 0
SCH
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |