B. Dortmund II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
S04
0 - 4
BOR
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 1
IDA
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
WIE
1 - 7
BOR
29%
23%
47%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 2
EIN
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
S04
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
IDA
1 - 1
FOR
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
WIE
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
EIN
1 - 2
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
SPO
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |