B. Dortmund II vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
BOR
1 - 2
WER
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
UNT
1 - 1
BOR
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
OFC
1 - 2
BOR
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
EBT
1 - 2
BOR
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BOR
3 - 0
WAC
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
CZJ
3 - 0
HOL
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CZJ
1 - 1
OSN
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CZJ
1 - 0
ERZ
37%
26%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CZJ
0 - 1
SVS
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
WEH
1 - 1
CZJ
53%
24%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |