Borgosesia vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgosesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 2
BOR
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BOR
4 - 1
UNI
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +5 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
BOR
52%
25%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 0
SET
71%
19%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
BOR
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 5
INV
23%
20%
57%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 0
VAR
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 3
CUN
17%
25%
59%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VER
3 - 3
VAR
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 1
BUS
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |