Borgo a Buggiano vs Virtus Pavullese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RUD
1 - 1
BOR
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 2
BOR
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 2
PON
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TUT
0 - 0
BOR
31%
25%
45%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 1
MEZ
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
FSD
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 0
VIR
59%
23%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
VIR
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 0
USR
61%
22%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |