Borgo a Buggiano vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
PON
2 - 0
BOR
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
BOR
2 - 0
TUT
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MEZ
1 - 3
BOR
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BOR
0 - 0
CAM
62%
22%
17%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MPO
1 - 1
BOR
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 0
RUD
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 0
VIR
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 0
PON
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 1
TUT
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MEZ
1 - 1
VIR
29%
27%
44%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |