Borgo a Buggiano vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
BFM
0 - 0
BOR
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 1
PON
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SDA
0 - 1
BOR
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BOR
0 - 0
ACC
40%
25%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ASC
0 - 1
BOR
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 0
RIC
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
USR
1 - 1
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 2
BFM
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 1
PON
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SDA
3 - 2
VIR
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |