Borgo a Buggiano vs Valenzana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 2
BOR
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 1
ACD
36%
28%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 0
BOR
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 0
LEC
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 3
BOR
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Valenzana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 2
ACS
38%
27%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
ACG
23%
27%
50%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CUN
1 - 0
VAL
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
PRO
12%
22%
66%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
ACM
24%
27%
49%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |