Borgo a Buggiano vs Castel San Pietro Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PIS
3 - 0
BOR
74%
18%
8%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
BOR
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
PDC
0 - 1
BOR
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
BOR
1 - 1
ACC
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 2
ROV
44%
24%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CSP
0 - 0
SDA
43%
25%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
CSP
1 - 0
PON
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 1
CSP
60%
23%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ASC
0 - 2
CSP
64%
21%
15%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ACC
1 - 0
CSP
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |