Borgo a Buggiano vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
DPC
1 - 1
BOR
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 1
MEZ
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
USR
3 - 3
BOR
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BOR
2 - 2
RIC
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
BOR
0 - 0
VIR
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MPO
1 - 2
SDA
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 0
MPO
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MPO
1 - 1
ASC
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PON
0 - 0
MPO
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
MPO
1 - 0
CSP
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |