Borgo a Buggiano vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 0
BOR
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 0
MPO
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FSD
0 - 2
BOR
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BOR
3 - 1
NUO
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
USR
0 - 2
BOR
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MEZ
0 - 0
VIR
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MPO
1 - 1
MEZ
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MEZ
3 - 1
TUT
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
NUO
0 - 1
MEZ
23%
26%
51%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
MEZ
3 - 0
CAM
40%
26%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |