Borgo a Buggiano vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 0
CAM
69%
19%
11%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
BOR
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 5
LAQ
53%
25%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
USP
4 - 3
BOR
52%
25%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 0
ARZ
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
GAV
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 0
USP
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FON
2 - 3
GAV
26%
24%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GAV
1 - 1
FOL
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
GAV
58%
23%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |