Borgo a Buggiano vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
CSP
3 - 3
BOR
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 1
PIS
17%
25%
58%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOR
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 2
RIC
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 3
CAR
16%
23%
61%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
4 - 1
BFM
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ASV
0 - 0
CAR
13%
21%
67%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
ACE
78%
16%
7%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |