Borgo a Buggiano vs Arzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 1
BOR
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
BOR
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 2
APR
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -3 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TER
2 - 1
BOR
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 0
VIG
41%
27%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ASD
34%
25%
40%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RAA
1 - 1
ARZ
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LAQ
3 - 1
ARZ
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ARZ
2 - 2
SAL
14%
20%
66%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GAV
1 - 2
ARZ
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |