Q. Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round Final
Global 4-0
Girondins Bordeaux vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
GIR
2 - 0
CLE
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 1
GUI
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
GIR
0 - 0
ANG
70%
20%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GEN
4 - 3
GIR
42%
27%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GIR
2 - 1
MPL
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
AEK
2 - 1
ENO
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
POG
1 - 1
AEK
32%
26%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
AEK
2 - 0
ANO
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
APO
1 - 1
AEK
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
AEK
2 - 1
ERM
57%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |